Oof, beefed this year's predictions.  I made the bold prediction of Get Out thinking this year might be similar to 2016, when Mad Max and The Revenant were the head-to-head favorites but Spotlight sort of beamed in to win with only an Original Screenplay win.  But if I hadn't gone No Guts No Glory, I would have picked Three Billboards as the likely winner, so it was sort of a double beef.

Also was predicting at least one actor upset, which tends to happen most often in Supporting Actor (see: Adam Arkin, Mark Rylance), but all four categories went right down the line according to precursors.  Ah well.

An okay show.  I was surprised by one of the montages, the sort of overall Movie montage; I'll have to see if it gets uploaded to YT later on.  There was a line of dialogue about how hope (I think it was hope) never dies, that was cut over a shot of Anton Yelchin from Star Trek.  Caught me completely off-guard and out of nowhere; I just started blubbering.

I enjoyed The Shape of Water and am always happy when something of a genre-bent wins big, but I have to admit, it just didn't come together as a film for me.  I think all of the pieces were there except for the actual script itself; there were just some holes, some places that didn't gel.  I always have favorites in the Best Picture race, but it's sort of odd to have a movie I really liked win that I think actually didn't really deserve to win?  I actually only saw three out of nine of the nominees this year, but the other two that I did see - Dunkirk and Get Out - were both better, I think. 

It was awfully cute to see Doug Jones up on that stage, though.