Right now the Best Actress winners/nominees I've seen at the critics awards and such are: Emma Thompson, for Saving Mr. Banks; Meryl Streep, for August Osage County; Brie Larson, for Short Term 12; Sandra Bullock, for Gravity; Amy Adams, for American Hustle; Adele Exarchopoulos, for Blue is the Warmest Color. That's who I've seen pop up the most, but Cate has definitely won most of the time. I'm guessing Cate/Sandra/Emma as locks for an Oscar nom, Meryl as a likely, either Brie/Adele for the "young newcomer" slot, and then Amy/someone else as a spoiler.